Why the weatherman is almost always wrong
Over at the HuffPo, Thomas de Zengotita has a post up A Book We Need to Think About for the New Year
The book: Expert Political Judgment : How Good is It? How Can We Know?
And from the sounds of it, the thesis is that the common man is better at making predictions about what will happen than “experts”
What would we do without “experts”? eh?
Is the weatherman almost always wrong?? I wonder whether anyone has ever actually studied the question?
Comment by OneHand — 11/10/2007 @ 8:29 pm